Tuesday, October 1, 2013

AR5 & IPCC Fraud

Who the hell does the IPCC think they are fooling?

In the final draft of the IPCC report, made public approximately ten months ago, the IPCC included the following graph showing the computer models set against the observed temperature (with a meaningless gray background).

This chart clearly shows that observed temperatures (black dots) have fallen outside the projections of each of the computer models used by the IPCC. It is clear and easy to assess.

In the final report, just released, with the IPCC now claiming that the computer models have not failed, we get the following graph:

This goes beyond being a ridiculous attempt at obfuscation - it is outright fraud. Instead of showing an average of temperatures, the IPCC plots so many multiple points on a spaghetti graph as to make it virtually impossible to read. Moreover, the IPCC has shifted the computer model projections downward so that, mirale dictu, all of the plots now fall comfortably within the computer model projections.

Steve McIntyre, in his post at Climate Audit attempting to asses this fraud, notes that:

None of this portion of the IPCC assessment is drawn from peer-reviewed material. Nor is it consistent with the documents sent to external reviewers.

In other words, some people at the IPCC - and we need names for this one - snuck in this fraud at the 11th hour, site unseen even by the IPCC scientists tasked with reviewing the document.

Tar and feathering is simply not enough for these people.


KG said...

Unreal! In the real world, this would be grounds for arrest and prosecution.

GreenEyedJinn said...

Thanks for posting the original graph. It's a very damning comparison.
Another interesting note to see is the start date of 1950. That conveniently leaves off temperature records back to the 1900s. The "Dustbowl" period of the 1930s were also very hot. Including that data would significantly change the overall average and reduce the so-called "temperature anomaly" used by the IPCC to an even smaller -- and subsequently less politically useful -- value. The net effect of including older data is to flatten the graphed trends and show that earth's temperature is hardly out of control while the estimates provided by the cited climate change models are completely beyond any acceptable statistical variation.