Monday, July 7, 2008

The Election's Gettysburg Moment

Dick Morris and Eileen McGaan think that the Presidential race is at a critical juncture - in essence, at its Gettysburgh moment where the outcome of the immediate battle may well decide the outcome of the war. Obama has run his first national campaign ad in all the swing states, attempting to rewrite his past on the issue of welfare reform. Morris believes that whether McCain responds effectively will mortally wound Obama while a failure to engage will permanantly ensconce Obama's electoral margin.

This from Morris and McGaan writing at RCP:

. . . The Obama ad, which introduces him as someone who worked his way through college, fights for American jobs, and battles for health care also seeks to move him to the center by taking credit for welfare reform in Illinois which, the ad proclaims, reduced the rolls by 80%.

But there's one problem - Obama opposed the 1996 welfare reform act at the time. The Illinois law for which he takes credit, was merely the local implementing law the state was required to pass, and it did, almost unanimously. Obama's implication -- that he backed "moving people from welfare to work" -- is just not true.

With Obama running the ad in all the swing states . . ., this gross usurpation of credit affords the McCain campaign an incredible opportunity for rebuttal.

For the past two weeks, Obama has moved quickly toward the center. He has reversed his previous positions for gun control, against using faith based institutions to deliver public services, against immunity for tele-communications companies that turn records over to the government in terror investigations, for raising Social Security taxes, for imposing the fairness doctrine on talk radio, and a host of other issues.

McCain has watched passively as his rival repositions himself for November. Indeed, he has watched from afar as he took the time out to travel to Mexico, Colombia, and Brazil, even though they have no electoral votes.

But now, there is a heaven-sent opportunity for McCain to strike. In his effort to move to the center, Obama has distorted his own record, meager though it may be, and is taking credit for a program he strongly opposed. McCain should immediately run an ad in all of the states in which his opponent is advertising setting forth the facts and explaining Obama's distortion.

A good tag line for the ad would be: "John McCain: when you have real experience, you don't need to exaggerate."

But, if McCain doesn't answer, or just replies with his own positive ad, he will let Obama move to the center, a key mistake from which he may never recover.

. . . On the other hand, if McCain calls him on his distortion, he can do grave damage to Obama on three fronts: credibility, centrism, and experience. By catching Obama in a lie, he can undermine the effectiveness of any subsequent ads the Democrat runs. By showing that he opposed welfare reform, McCain can do much to force Obama back to the left and cast doubt on his efforts to move to the middle. And by emphasizing Obama's limited experience, he can strike at a soft spot --- made softer by Hillary's attacks in the primary.

The move is right there for McCain. Now lets see how good his campaign really is.

Read the entire article. Obama presents a target rich environment and the MSM is doing all they can in their coverage to assist Obama. McCain needs to take full advantage of gifts such as this.

1 comment:

vinny said...

History teaches us that McCain will sit on his ass and chastize everyone who criticizes Obama.